The empirical results on the influence of inexperience and experience in decision
making are inconclusive. This paper offers a resolution to the puzzle of how empirical
studies that advance contradictory risk-related claims can all command empirical ...
Restricted accessResearch articleFirst published January 26, 2023pp. 584–598
I propose an audience costs game with considerations added from selectorate theory.
We see that winning coalition and selectorate size have competing effects on conflict
choices in an audience costs setting. Large coalition regimes face lower audience
...
Restricted accessResearch articleFirst published February 23, 2023pp. 599–618
Why don't democracies fight each other? Since discovering this empirical regularity,
scholars have assumed that the answer must lie with regime type (i.e. democracy).
Our paper provides and tests an alternative explanation: the territorial explanation
of ...
Restricted accessResearch articleFirst published February 14, 2023pp. 619–633
We examine whether bargaining behavior alters the initially expected effects of exogenous
factors, such as power balance, issues, and domestic regimes, influencing crisis outcomes.
Our argument is that, instead of weakening threat credibility as assumed ...
Restricted accessResearch articleFirst published February 7, 2023pp. 634–654
This paper identifies profound contradictions within and across nuclear deterrence
strategies that evolved in response to the proliferation and modernization of nuclear
weapons. To reconcile theory with practice, we summarize the theoretical assumptions
...
Restricted accessResearch articleFirst published February 10, 2023pp. 655–674
Many theories of international conflict are based on the premise that war can occur
by accident. The basic idea of accidental war is that crisis situations can spiral
out of control, leading to the outbreak of a war despite no one having decided to
go to ...
Restricted accessResearch articleFirst published February 2, 2023pp. 675–691